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US Elections Marathon

DAY 14  4/11

Waiting for Election Day Votes as More Polls Close

Alp Ünal Ayhan

05.07

  • Twitter

9:07 PM RT- Another wave of poll closings! We’re looking for results from Arizona, Texas, Georgia, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.

More races were called, and Biden’s at 119 votes while Trump’s at 94.

Races from Georgia, North Carolina, Texas and Ohio are proving to be real nailbiters as Democrats worry about in-person votes cast on Election Day.

Biden's Possible Paths to 270

Alp Ünal Ayhan

04.43

  • Twitter

8:43 PM ET- There are already several warning signs to the Biden campaign that his path to the presidency may not go through Georgia and Florida as they were expecting. Currently Biden is leading in North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and even Texas. Ignoring the Midwest was the huge mistake that cost Hillary Clinton the presidency in 2016. It is very likely that the Rust Belt states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin may hand Biden the keys to the White House. But it’s all but certain he won’t win Florida as things stand right now.

Can Democrats Compensate a Potential Florida Loss?

Alp Ünal Ayhan

04.10

  • Twitter

8:10 PM ET- Trump has a very narrow lead in Florida with about 65,000 votes. Biden is ahead in many battleground states like Pennsylvania, Texas, Ohio and by a very narrow margin Georgia. This wave of blue leads may be because of the early vote so stand by for projections later tonight.

Kentucky was called for Trump by CNN, although it was called by AP before, so our electoral vote total stays at 85 to 55 for Biden.

New Polls Closings and Projections

Alp Ünal Ayhan

04.05

  • Twitter

8:05 PM ET- Biden is projected to win Massachusetts, Maryland, Delaware, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Illinois. Trump is projected to win in Oklahoma, South Carolina, Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee and Kentucky.

Biden leads in the electoral vote count 85 to 55.

New Poll Closings

Alp Ünal Ayhan

03.57

  • Twitter

7:57 PM ET- In a few minutes we will have the biggest wave of poll closings with 172 electoral votes. Pennsylvania, Texas and eastern Michigan will close their polls in a few minutes.

Biden’s chances of winning Florida is rapidly diminishing with Biden leading with only 6,000 votes at 81% of the estimated vote in.

Projection Alert

Alp Ünal Ayhan

03.42

  • Twitter

7:42 PM ET- Virginia and Vermont are finally called for Biden. West Virginia is called for Trump. This brings the electoral vote totals to 16 Biden and 13 Trump.

More Battleground States Close Polls

Alp Ünal Ayhan

03.36

  • Twitter

7:36 PM ET- Polls in 2 battleground states, Ohio and North Carolina, and West Virginia have closed! Ohio was a true toss-up during the election campaign but North Carolina was slightly favored for Biden. Biden has a narrow lead in Florida. Biden also leads in Vermont, New Hampshire and Georgia. Trump leads in Kentucky, South Carolina and Virginia. Virginia will probably change hands once more votes are counted.

Flipping Races, Spinning Heads

Alp Ünal Ayhan

03.26

  • Twitter

7:26 PM ET- Results in Florida so far show a tighter race than imagined before. I’m literally not able to write this update as the leading candidate keeps flipping every time I start over! About 40% of the expected vote is in and the lead is around 1%. Biden is currently leading in Georgia but only 3% of the estimated vote is in there. We expect Biden to win Vermont and Trump to win Kentucky

Florida Frenzy!

Alp Ünal Ayhan

03.08

  • Twitter

7:08 PM ET- Polls in Florida have closed. We have 12% of the vote in with Trump leading 53-46%. These results are very early and come from heavily Republican counties. Trump seems to be underperforming compared to 2016 so far.

Both campaigns have said the race in Florida will be very tight and we will wait for more results as things stand.

First Projection of the Night!

Alp Ünal Ayhan

03.02

  • Twitter

7:02 PM ET- There we go! The State of Indiana, Vice President Mike Pence's home state is projected for Donald Trump. This is the first projection of the night, although it doesn’t tell us that much.

Kentucky’s Senate race is surprisingly competitive as we speak as Democrat Amy McGrath is leading Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell by hundreds of ballots. I don’t expect her lead to sustain but it was certainly an interesting race. McConnell has been known for diminishing Democrats’ legislative agenda by blocking votes for bills in the Senate. He’s extremely unpopular nation-wide and that’s why she got millions of dollars of contributions outside the state. Nevertheless I expect McConnell to win.

Trump now stands at 11 electoral votes.

Break Time!

Alp Ünal Ayhan

02.46

  • Twitter

6:46 PM ET- I will be taking a break from updating the blog until about 7 PM Eastern, when polls in several states will close and we will probably get the first projections of the night. Meanwhile I will be gathering more information and results.

Playing the Guessing Game: First Results are In

Alp Ünal Ayhan

02.27